Ukraine has accused Russia of launching an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) during an overnight attack, which would be a first in the conflict. A Western official disputed the claim, stating it was a ballistic missile but not an ICBM. The Kremlin has not responded to the accusation. It is unclear why Russia would use an ICBM against Ukraine, given the range of at least 3,400 miles. Ukrainian forces recently used U.S. ATACMS and British Storm Shadow missiles against Russian targets. The alleged ICBM attack targeted the city of Dnipro, with reports of injuries. This escalation follows President Putin’s revision of Russia’s nuclear doctrine, allowing for a nuclear strike if attacked by a non-nuclear state backed by a nuclear power. Analysts urge caution in interpreting the alleged ICBM deployment, citing low accuracy and high costs for conventional use. The likelihood of Russia using nuclear weapons in the conflict is slim, given their military advances and territorial gains. Western support for Ukraine’s use of long-range weapons may not significantly change the situation on the battlefield. The diplomatic fallout and risks of nuclear escalation could alienate key international partners and complicate relationships with the incoming U.S. administration. Ultimately, the risk of Russian nuclear use in the conflict is considered low, with political and military factors favoring Russia at this stage.
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For the first time, Ukraine accuses Russia of launching intercontinental ballistic missile at it
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