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Trump’s anticipated 25% auto tariffs predicted to decrease sales significantly, resulting in a loss of $100 billion


President Donald Trump’s 25% tariffs on imported vehicles are expected to have massive global implications for the automotive industry. These tariffs are anticipated to lead to a drop in vehicle sales in the millions, higher prices for new and used vehicles, and increased costs of over $100 billion for the industry. These changes are considered to be a structural shift that will have long-lasting effects on the industry.

Analysts predict that tariffs could add $110 billion to $160 billion in annual costs to the industry, affecting both U.S. and non-U.S. manufacturers. Automakers and suppliers may pass some of these cost increases onto consumers, potentially impacting sales.

Despite responses by automakers such as temporary pricing deals and suspending U.S. shipments, the expected increase in costs is likely to affect consumer spending power. This, combined with already high vehicle prices and loan rates, may result in declining sales, leading to significant economic repercussions.

The automotive industry is expected to see price increases on both new and used vehicles as a result of these tariffs. Cox Automotive estimates a $6,000 increase in the cost of imported vehicles due to the 25% tariff, as well as a $3,600 increase for vehicles assembled in the U.S. due to upcoming tariffs on automotive parts. These changes are expected to lead to production and sales declines, higher prices, and potentially the elimination of some vehicle models.

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